Àðõèòåêòóðà âëàñòè

ÀÐÕÈÒÅÊÒÓÐÀ ÂËÀÑÒÈ

ÐÅÂÎËÞÖÈß ÏÎÆÈÐÀÅÒ ÑÎÁÑÒÂÅÍÍÛÕ ÄÅÒÅÉ.
×òî áóäåò ñ óêðàèíîé? 2030?


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ÅÑËÈ ÎÏÈÐÀÒÜÑß ÍÀ ÈÑÒÎÐÈ×ÅÑÊÓÞ ËÎÃÈÊÓ 1917, 1930-Õ È ÊÀÌÁÎÄÆÈ, ÒÎ ÔÐÀÇÀ “ÐÅÂÎËÞÖÈß ÏÎÆÈÐÀÅÒ ÑÎÁÑÒÂÅÍÍÛÕ ÄÅÒÅÉ” — ÝÒÎ ÏÎËÅÇÍÀß ÌÅÒÀÔÎÐÀ, ÍΠŨ ÍÅËÜÇß ÌÅÕÀÍÈ×ÅÑÊÈ ÏÅÐÅÍÎÑÈÒÜ ÍÀ ÓÊÐÀÈÍÓ.

ÓÊÐÀÈÍÀ — ÝÒÎ ÍÅ ÊËÀÑÑÈ×ÅÑÊÀß ÂÍÓÒÐÅÍÍßß ÐÅÂÎËÞÖÈß ÏÎ ÒÈÏÓ 1917.
ÝÒÎ ÑÌÅÑÜ:

ÑÌÅÍÛ ÏÎËÈÒÈ×ÅÑÊÎÉ ÝËÈÒÛ Â 2014
ÂÎÉÍÛ ÇÀ ÒÅÐÐÈÒÎÐÈÞ È ÑÓÂÅÐÅÍÈÒÅÒ
ÃËÓÁÎÊÎÉ ÂÍÅØÍÅÉ ÈÍÒÅÃÐÀÖÈÈ Ñ ÅÑ È ÑØÀ
ÏÎÑËÅÂÎÅÍÍÎÉ ÐÅÊÎÍÑÒÐÓÊÖÈÈ

ÏÎÝÒÎÌÓ Ê 2030 ÑÊÎÐÅÅ ÐÀÁÎÒÀÅÒ ÍÅ ËÎÃÈÊÀ “ÏÎÆÈÐÀÍÈß ÄÅÒÅÉ”, À ËÎÃÈÊÀ:
ÊÐÈÇÈÑ => ÂÎÅÍÍÀß ÌÎÁÈËÈÇÀÖÈß => ÏÅÐÅÔÎÐÌÀÒÈÐÎÂÀÍÈÅ ÃÎÑÓÄÀÐÑÒÂÀ => ÐÅÊÎÍÑÒÐÓÊÖÈß => ÍÎÂÀß ÝËÈÒÀ.

×ÒÎ ÌÎÆÅÒ ÁÛÒÜ Ê 2030: ÒÐÈ ÐÅÀËÈÑÒÈ×ÍÛÕ ÑÖÅÍÀÐÈß
ÑÖÅÍÀÐÈÉ 1. ÏÎÑËÅÂÎÅÍÍÀß ÐÅÊÎÍÑÒÐÓÊÖÈß È ÈÍÒÅÃÐÀÖÈß Â ÅÑ

ÝÒÎ ÑÅÉ×ÀÑ ÂÛÃËßÄÈÒ ÊÀÊ ÁÀÇÎÂÛÉ ÑÖÅÍÀÐÈÉ.

ÏÎ ÄÀÍÍÛÌ WORLD BANK / EU / UN, ÎÁÚ¨Ì ÂÎÑÑÒÀÍÎÂËÅÍÈß ÎÖÅÍÈÂÀÅÒÑß ÏÎ×ÒÈ Â 588 ÌËÐÄ ÄÎËËÀÐΠÍÀ 10 ËÅÒ.

ÝÒÎ ÇÍÀ×ÈÒ, ×ÒÎ Ê 2030:

ÓÊÐÀÈÍÀ ÁÓÄÅÒ ÃËÓÁÎÊÎ ÝÊÎÍÎÌÈ×ÅÑÊÈ ÑÂßÇÀÍÀ Ñ ÅÑ
ÊÐÓÏÍÛÅ ÏÎÒÎÊÈ ÏÎÉÄÓÒ Â ÝÍÅÐÃÅÒÈÊÓ, ÆÈËܨ, ÒÐÀÍÑÏÎÐÒ
×ÀÑÒÍÛÉ ÊÀÏÈÒÀË È ÔÎÍÄÛ ÁÓÄÓÒ ÂÀÆÍÅÉØÈÌÈ ÈÃÐÎÊÀÌÈ
ÂÎÉÄ¨Ò ÌÍÎÃÎ ÅÂÐÎÏÅÉÑÊÈÕ È ÀÌÅÐÈÊÀÍÑÊÈÕ ÏÎÄÐßÄ×ÈÊÎÂ

ÝÒÎ ÏÎÕÎÆÅ ÍÅ ÍÀ 1917, À ÑÊÎÐÅÅ ÍÀ ÏÎÑËÅÂÎÅÍÍÓÞ ÅÂÐÎÏÓ ÏÎÑËÅ 1945.



ÑÖÅÍÀÐÈÉ 2. “ÐÅÂÎËÞÖÈß ÏÎÆÈÐÀÅÒ ÑÂÎÈÕ”  ÌßÃÊÎÉ ÔÎÐÌÅ

ÂÎÒ ÝÒÎ ÓÆÅ ÁËÈÆÅ Ê ÒÂÎÅÉ ËÎÃÈÊÅ.

ÍÅ Â ÑÌÛÑËÅ ÔÈÇÈ×ÅÑÊÈÕ ×ÈÑÒÎÊ, À  ÑÌÛÑËÅ ÏÎËÈÒÈ×ÅÑÊÎÉ ÇÀÌÅÍÛ ÂÎÅÍÍÎÉ ÝËÈÒÛ ÍÀ ÌÈÐÍÓÞ.

ÒÎ ÅÑÒÜ:

ÂÎÅÍÍÀß ÝËÈÒÀ 2022–2026
=>
ÏÎËÓ×ÀÅÒ ÎÃÐÎÌÍÓÞ ËÅÃÈÒÈÌÍÎÑÒÜ
=>
ÏÎÑËÅ ÂÎÉÍÛ ÍÀ×ÈÍÀÅÒÑß ÁÎÐÜÁÀ ÇÀ ÊÎÍÒÐÀÊÒÛ, ÂËÈßÍÈÅ, ÂÛÁÎÐÛ
=>
×ÀÑÒÜ “ÃÅÐÎÅ ÂÎÉÍÛ” ÂÛÒÅÑÍßÅÒÑß ÒÅÕÍÎÊÐÀÒÀÌÈ, ÁÈÇÍÅÑ-ÃÐÓÏÏÀÌÈ È ÏÀÐÒÈÉÍÛÌÈ ÊÎÀËÈÖÈßÌÈ

ÝÒÎ È ÅÑÒÜ ÑÎÂÐÅÌÅÍÍÀß ÔÎÐÌÀ
“ÐÅÂÎËÞÖÈß ÏÎÆÈÐÀÅÒ ÑÎÁÑÒÂÅÍÍÛÕ ÄÅÒÅÉ”.

ÍÅ ÐÀÑÑÒÐÅËÛ, À ÏÎËÈÒÈ×ÅÑÊÎÅ ÂÛÒÅÑÍÅÍÈÅ.

ÑÖÅÍÀÐÈÉ 3. ÄÎËÃÀß ÂÎÅÍÍÎ-ÏÎÃÐÀÍÈ×ÍÀß ÑÈÑÒÅÌÀ

ÅÑËÈ Ê 2030 ÊÎÍÔËÈÊÒ ÍÅ ÁÓÄÅÒ ÏÎËÍÎÑÒÜÞ ÇÀÂÅÐبÍ, ÒÎ ÓÊÐÀÈÍÀ ÌÎÆÅÒ ÏÐÅÂÐÀÒÈÒÜÑß Â:

ÄÎËÃÎÑÐÎ×ÍÎ ÌÈËÈÒÀÐÈÇÎÂÀÍÍÎÅ ÃÎÑÓÄÀÐÑÒÂÎ
Ñ ÂÛÑÎÊÈÌ ÂËÈßÍÈÅÌ ÀÐÌÈÈ È ÎÁÎÐÎÍÍÎÃÎ ÑÅÊÒÎÐÀ
Ñ ÁÎËÜØÎÉ ÐÎËÜÞ ÂÍÅØÍÅÃÎ ÔÈÍÀÍÑÈÐÎÂÀÍÈß

ÝÒÎ ÁËÈÆÅ Ê ÌÎÄÅËÈ
“ÂÎÉÍÀ ÊÀÊ ÎÑÍÎÂÀ ÍÎÂÎÉ ÃÎÑÓÄÀÐÑÒÂÅÍÍÎÑÒÈ”.

ÃËÀÂÍÀß ÄÅÄÓÊÖÈß

ÅÑËÈ ÁÐÀÒÜ ÈÍÄÓÊÖÈÞ ÈÇ 1917 È ÊÕÌÅÐÎÂ, ÒÎ ÎÁÙÈÉ ÇÀÊÎÍ ÍÅ Â ÒÎÌ, ×ÒÎ ÂÑÅÃÄÀ ÁÓÄÓÒ ×ÈÑÒÊÈ.

ÎÁÙÈÉ ÇÀÊÎÍ ÒÀÊÎÉ:

ÏÅÐÂÀß ÝËÈÒÀ ÏÐÈÕÎÄÈÒ Â ÊÐÈÇÈÑÅ
=> ÑÎÇÄÀ¨Ò ÍÎÂÛÉ ÏÎÐßÄÎÊ
=> ÏÎÒÎÌ Å¨ ×ÀÑÒÈ×ÍÎ ÇÀÌÅÍßÞÒ ÒÅ, ÊÒÎ ÓÏÐÀÂËßÅÒ ÂÎÑÑÒÀÍÎÂËÅÍÈÅÌ È ÊÀÏÈÒÀËÎÌ

ÄËß ÓÊÐÀÈÍÛ Ê 2030 ÁÎËÅÅ ÂÅÐÎßÒÍÎ:

ÂÎÅÍÍÎ-ÏÎËÈÒÈ×ÅÑÊÀß ÝËÈÒÀ
=> ÒÅÕÍÎÊÐÀÒÈ×ÅÑÊÀß / ÐÅÊÎÍÑÒÐÓÊÖÈÎÍÍÀß ÝËÈÒÀ

ÒÎ ÅÑÒÜ ÍÅ “1937”, À
“ÊÒÎ ÁÓÄÅÒ ÊÎÍÒÐÎËÈÐÎÂÀÒÜ ÂÎÑÑÒÀÍÎÂËÅÍÈÅ, ÄÎËÃ, ÈÍÔÐÀÑÒÐÓÊÒÓÐÓ È ÈÍÂÅÑÒÈÖÈÈ”.


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ÀÐÕÈÒÅÊÒÓÐÀ ÂËÀÑÒÈ È ÏÎÒÎÊÎÂ: ÊÒÎ ÏÐÈÕÎÄÈÒ, ÊÎÃÄÀ ÇÀÕÂÀÒÛÂÀÅÒ ÓÇËÛ ÓÏÐÀÂËÅÍÈß, ÊÒÎ ÑÒÀÍÎÂÈÒÑß ÂÛÃÎÄÎÏÎËÓ×ÀÒÅËÅÌ, È ÊÀÊ ÎÄÈÍ ÊÀÏÈÒÀË ÑÌÅÍßÅÒ ÄÐÓÃÎÉ.

ÐÀÇÁÅÐ¨Ì ÊÀÊ ÓÍÈÂÅÐÑÀËÜÍÓÞ ÑÕÅÌÓ ÏÎËÈÒÝÊÎÍÎÌÈÈ, ÁÅÇ ÏÐÈÂßÇÊÈ Ê ÎÄÍÎÉ ÑÒÐÀÍÅ.

ÈÌÅÍÍÎ ÝÒÎ Â ÍÀÓÊÅ ×ÀÑÒÎ ÎÏÈÑÛÂÀÞÒ ÊÀÊ “STATE CAPTURE”, “ELITE CIRCULATION”, “POST-CONFLICT RENT SYSTEM”.

ÀÐÕÈÒÅÊÒÓÐÀ ÂËÀÑÒÈ: ÊÒÎ ÇÀ ÊÅÌ ÏÐÈÕÎÄÈÒ
ÔÀÇÀ 0. ÑÒÀÐÛÉ ÏÎÐßÄÎÊ

ÝÒÎ ÈÑÕÎÄÍÀß ÑÈÑÒÅÌÀ.

 ÍÅÉ ÅÑÒÜ 5 ÎÑÍÎÂÍÛÕ ÓÇËÎÂ


ÏÎËÈÒÈ×ÅÑÊÀß ÂËÀÑÒÜ
ÏÐÅÇÈÄÅÍÒ / ÌÎÍÀÐÕ / ÏÀÐÒÈß
ÏÐÀÂÈÒÅËÜÑÒÂÎ
ÏÀÐËÀÌÅÍÒ
ÑÈËÎÂÎÉ ÁËÎÊ
ÀÐÌÈß
ÑÏÅÖÑËÓÆÁÛ
ÏÎËÈÖÈß
ÔÈÍÀÍÑÎÂÛÉ ÁËÎÊ
ÁÀÍÊÈ
ÁÞÄÆÅÒ
ÍÀËÎÃÎÂÛÅ ÏÎÒÎÊÈ
ÐÅÑÓÐÑÛ
ÇÅÌËß
ÏÎÐÒÛ
ØÀÕÒÛ
ÍÅÔÒÜ / ÃÀÇ
ÝÍÅÐÃÅÒÈÊÀ
ÍÀÐÐÀÒÈÂ / ËÅÃÈÒÈÌÍÎÑÒÜ
ÑÌÈ
ÈÄÅÎËÎÃÈß
ÎÁÐÀÇ ÂÐÀÃÀ


ÔÀÇÀ 1. ÊÐÈÇÈÑ È ÐÀÇËÎÌ

ÒÓÒ ÏÐÎÈÑÕÎÄÈÒ ÃËÀÂÍÎÅ:

ÑÒÀÐÀß ÝËÈÒÀ ÒÅÐßÅÒ ËÅÃÈÒÈÌÍÎÑÒÜ.

ÏÐÈ×ÈÍÛ:

ÝÊÎÍÎÌÈ×ÅÑÊÈÉ ÊÐÈÇÈÑ
ÏÎÐÀÆÅÍÈÅ Â ÂÎÉÍÅ
ÏÐÎÒÅÑÒÛ
ÐÀÑÊÎË ÝËÈÒ
ÂÍÅØÍÅÅ ÄÀÂËÅÍÈÅ

ÊËÞ×ÅÂÎÅ:
ÍÅ ÍÀÐÎÄ ÑÀÌ ÏÎ ÑÅÁÅ ËÎÌÀÅÒ ÑÈÑÒÅÌÓ.

ÑÈÑÒÅÌÓ ËÎÌÀÅÒ ÐÀÑÊÎË ÂÍÓÒÐÈ ÝËÈÒ.

ÈÌÅÍÍÎ ÂÍÓÒÐÈ ÝËÈÒ ÎÁÐÀÇÓÅÒÑß “ÂÒÎÐÎÉ ÖÅÍÒД.

ÝÒÎ ÍÀÇÛÂÀÞÒ ÖÈÐÊÓËßÖÈÅÉ ÝËÈÒ.

ÔÀÇÀ 2. ÏÅÐÂÀß ÂÎËÍÀ ÇÀÕÂÀÒÀ

ÑÞÄÀ ÇÀÕÎÄÈÒ ÍÎÂÀß ÊÎÀËÈÖÈß.

ÎÁÛ×ÍÎ ÎÍÀ ÑÎÑÒÎÈÒ ÈÇ:

ÏÎËÈÒÈ×ÅÑÊÎÉ ÎÏÏÎÇÈÖÈÈ
×ÀÑÒÈ ÁÈÇÍÅÑ-ÝËÈÒ
×ÀÑÒÈ ÑÈËÎÂÈÊÎÂ
ÓËÈ×ÍÎÉ ÌÎÁÈËÈÇÀÖÈÈ
ÂÍÅØÍÈÕ ÏÀÐÒͨÐÎÂ

ÈÌÅÍÍÎ ÇÄÅÑÜ ÈÄ¨Ò ÇÀÕÂÀÒ ÏÎÒÎÊÎÂ.

ÍÅ ÑÐÀÇÓ ÂÑÅÉ ÑÒÐÀÍÛ.

ÑÍÀ×ÀËÀ ÇÀÕÂÀÒÛÂÀÞÒÑß ÓÇËÛ:


1. ÊÎÌÌÓÍÈÊÀÖÈÈ
ÒÅËÅÂÈÄÅÍÈÅ
ÑÎÖÑÅÒÈ
ÊÐÓÏÍÛÅ ÑÌÈ
2. ÔÈÍÀÍÑÛ
ÖÅÍÒÐÎÁÀÍÊ
ÌÈÍÔÈÍ
ÊÀÇÍÀ×ÅÉÑÒÂÎ
3. ÑÈËÀ
ÌÂÄ
ÃÅÍØÒÀÁ
ÑÏÅÖÑËÓÆÁÛ

ÊÒÎ ÂÇßË ÝÒÈ ÒÐÈ ÓÇËÀ —
ÒÎÒ ÂÇßË ÃÎÑÓÄÀÐÑÒÂÎ.

ÔÀÇÀ 3. ÊÒÎ ÂÛÃÎÄÎÏÎËÓ×ÀÒÅËÈ

ÂÎÒ ÝÒÎ ÑÀÌÎÅ ÂÀÆÍÎÅ.

ÂÛÃÎÄÎÏÎËÓ×ÀÒÅËÜ ÍÅ ÎÁßÇÀÒÅËÜÍÎ ÒÎÒ, ÊÒÎ ÑÒÎßË ÍÀ ÏËÎÙÀÄÈ ÈËÈ ÍÀ ÔÐÎÍÒÅ.

×ÀÙÅ ÂÑÅÃÎ ÂÛÃÎÄÓ ÏÎËÓ×ÀÞÒ 4 ÃÐÓÏÏÛ:

À) ÍÎÂÀß ÂÍÓÒÐÅÍÍßß ÝËÈÒÀ

ÝÒÎ ÒÅ, ÊÒÎ ÏÎËÓ×ÈË:

ÌÈÍÈÑÒÅÐÑÒÂÀ
ÃÎÑÊÎÍÒÐÀÊÒÛ
ÄÎÑÒÓÏ Ê ÁÞÄÆÅÒÓ

ÝÒÎ ÊËÀÑÑÈ×ÅÑÊÈÉ “ELITE CAPTURE”.

Á) ÊÐÓÏÍÛÉ ÊÀÏÈÒÀË

ÒÅ, ÊÒÎ ÏÎËÓ×ÀÅÒ:

ÏÐÈÂÀÒÈÇÀÖÈÞ
ÊÎÍÖÅÑÑÈÈ
ÃÎÑÏÎÄÐßÄÛ
ÄÎÑÒÓÏ Ê ÐÅÑÓÐÑÀÌ
Â) ÂÍÅØÍÈÅ ÔÈÍÀÍÑÎÂÛÅ ÖÅÍÒÐÛ
ÁÀÍÊÈ
ÔÎÍÄÛ
ÃÎÑÓÄÀÐÑÒÂÀ-ÊÐÅÄÈÒÎÐÛ
Ã) ÂÎÅÍÍÎ-ÏÐÎÌÛØËÅÍÍÛÉ ÊÀÏÈÒÀË

 ÂÎÉÍÅ ÎÃÐÎÌÍÛÅ ÏÎÒÎÊÈ ÈÄÓÒ ×ÅÐÅÇ:

ÇÀÊÓÏÊÈ
ËÎÃÈÑÒÈÊÓ
ÂÎÑÑÒÀÍÎÂËÅÍÈÅ


ÔÀÇÀ 4. ×ÓÆÈÅ ÍÀ×ÈÍÀÞÒ ÓÏÐÀÂËßÒÜ ÏÎÒÎÊÀÌÈ

ÂÎÒ ÒÓÒ ÒÂÎÉ ÃËÀÂÍÛÉ ÂÎÏÐÎÑ.

ÊÎÃÄÀ “×ÓÆÈÅ” ÍÀ×ÈÍÀÞÒ ÂËÈßÒÜ?


ÎÁÛ×ÍÎ ÍÅ Â ÍÀ×ÀËÅ.

À ÏÎÑËÅ ÐÀÇÐÓØÅÍÈß ÑÈÑÒÅÌÛ.

ÌÎÌÅÍÒ ÂÕÎÄÀ:

ÏÎÑËÅ ÔÀÇÛ ÈÑÒÎÙÅÍÈß

ÊÎÃÄÀ ÑÒÐÀÍÅ ÍÓÆÍÛ:

ÊÐÅÄÈÒÛ
ÎÐÓÆÈÅ
ÒÎÏËÈÂÎ
ÒÅÕÍÎËÎÃÈÈ
ÂÎÑÑÒÀÍÎÂËÅÍÈÅ

ÈÌÅÍÍÎ ÒÎÃÄÀ ÂÍÅØÍÈÉ ÊÀÏÈÒÀË ÏÎËÓ×ÀÅÒ ÐÛ×ÀÃÈ.

ÔÎÐÌÛ ÂÕÎÄÀ:

ÊÐÅÄÈÒÍÛÅ ËÈÍÈÈ
ÏÐÎÃÐÀÌÌÛ ÂÎÑÑÒÀÍÎÂËÅÍÈß
ÈÍÔÐÀÑÒÐÓÊÒÓÐÍÛÅ ÊÎÍÒÐÀÊÒÛ
ÑÒÀÍÄÀÐÒÛ ÐÅÃÓËÈÐÎÂÀÍÈß


ÔÀÇÀ 5. ÊÀÏÈÒÀËÛ ÑÌÅÍßÞÒ ÄÐÓÃ ÄÐÓÃÀ?

ÄÀ. ÏÎ ÑÓÒÈ — ÄÀ.

ÍÎ ÍÅ ÊÀÊ Â ÊÈÍÎ.

ÍÅ “ÎÄÍÈ ÓØËÈ — ÄÐÓÃÈÅ ÏÐÈØËÈ”.

À ÒÀÊ:

ÑÒÀÐÛÉ ÊÀÏÈÒÀË ÒÅÐßÅÒ ÄÎÑÒÓÏ Ê ÃÎÑÓÄÀÐÑÒÂÓ

=>

ÍÎÂÀß ÝËÈÒÀ ÏÎËÓ×ÀÅÒ ÏÎËÈÒÈ×ÅÑÊÈÉ ÊÎÍÒÐÎËÜ

=>

ÂÍÅØÍÈÉ ÊÀÏÈÒÀË ÏÎËÓ×ÀÅÒ ÝÊÎÍÎÌÈ×ÅÑÊÈÉ ÄÎÑÒÓÏ

=>

ÏÎÒÎÌ ÎÍÈ ÑÐÀÑÒÀÞÒÑß

ÝÒÎ ÓÆÅ ÍÀÇÛÂÀÅÒÑß STATE CAPTURE / OLIGARCHIC FUSION.

ÒÎ ÅÑÒÜ:

ÂËÀÑÒÜ + ÁÈÇÍÅÑ + ÂÍÅØÍÈÉ ÊÐÅÄÈÒÎÐ

ÑËÈÂÀÞÒÑß Â ÅÄÈÍÓÞ ÀÐÕÈÒÅÊÒÓÐÓ.

ÃËÓÁÈÍÍÀß ÑÕÅÌÀ

ÌÎÆÍÎ ÑÂÅÑÒÈ ÄÎ ÔÎÐÌÓËÛ:

ÊÐÈÇÈÑ
=> ÑÌÅÍÀ ÝËÈÒ
=> ÇÀÕÂÀÒ ÓÇËÎÂ
=> ÏÅÐÅÐÀÑÏÐÅÄÅËÅÍÈÅ ÐÅÍÒÛ
=> ÂÕÎÄ ÂÍÅØÍÅÃÎ ÊÀÏÈÒÀËÀ
=> ÍÎÂÀß ÑÈÑÒÅÌÀ ÂÛÃÎÄÎÏÎËÓ×ÀÒÅËÅÉ


###



ÐÀÇÁÅÐ¨Ì ÍÀ “ÏËÀÍÅÒÀÐÍÎÌ ÓÐÎÂÍÅ”, ÍÎ ÁÅÇ ÊÎÍÑÏÈÐÎËÎÃÈÈ — ÒÎËÜÊÎ ÈÑÒÎÐÈ×ÅÑÊÀß ÑÕÅÌÀ ÏÎ ÂÎËÍÀÌ ÂËÀÑÒÈ, ÇÀ×ÈÑÒÎÊ È ÊÀÏÈÒÀËÀ.

1) ÐÎÑÑÈß / ÑÑÑÐ: ÏÅÐÂÀß ÂÎËÍÀ, ÊÒÎ ÇÀ×ÈÑÒÈË ÑÒÀÐÛÉ ÏÎÐßÄÎÊ
ÏÅÐÂÀß ÂÎËÍÀ: 1917–1922

ÝÒÎ ßÄÐÎÂÎÉ ÑËÎÌ ÈÌÏÅÐÈÈ

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ÝÒÀÏ À. ÑÍÎÑ ÑÒÀÐÎÃÎ ÏÎÐßÄÊÀ
ÔÅÂÐÀËÜ 1917 — ÏÀÄÅÍÈÅ ÌÎÍÀÐÕÈÈ
ÎÊÒßÁÐÜ 1917 — ÁÎËÜØÅÂÈÊÈ ÁÅÐÓÒ ÂËÀÑÒÜ
1918–1922 — ÃÐÀÆÄÀÍÑÊÀß ÂÎÉÍÀ

ÇÄÅÑÜ ÈÄ¨Ò ËÈÊÂÈÄÀÖÈß:

ÄÂÎÐßÍÑÒÂÀ
×ÀÑÒÈ ÀÐÈÑÒÎÊÐÀÒÈÈ
ÖÀÐÑÊÎÉ ÁÞÐÎÊÐÀÒÈÈ
ÊÐÓÏÍÎÃÎ ÊÀÏÈÒÀËÀ
ÎÔÈÖÅÐÑÊÎÃÎ ÊÎÐÏÓÑÀ ÈÌÏÅÐÈÈ
ÖÅÐÊÎÂÍÎÉ ÈÅÐÀÐÕÈÈ

ÊËÞ×ÅÂÎÉ ÈÍÑÒÐÓÌÅÍÒ — Cheka (Â×Ê), ÑÎÇÄÀÍÀ  ÄÅÊÀÁÐÅ 1917.

ÊÐÀÑÍÛÉ ÒÅÐÐÎÐ ÎÑÎÁÅÍÍÎ ÐÀÇÂÎÐÀ×ÈÂÀÅÒÑß Â 1918–1921 ÏÎÑËÅ ÏÎÊÓØÅÍÈß ÍÀ ËÅÍÈÍÀ È ÓÁÈÉÑÒÂÀ ÓÐÈÖÊÎÃÎ.

ÑÓÒÜ:
“ÑÒÀÐÛÉ ÊËÀÑÑÎÂÛÉ ÊÀÐÊÀÑ” ÄÎËÆÅÍ ÁÛË ÁÛÒÜ ÓÍÈ×ÒÎÆÅÍ.

ÝÒÎ ÍÅ ÏÐÎÑÒÎ ÑÌÅÍÀ ÂËÀÑÒÈ.
ÝÒÎ ÑÌÅÍÀ ÑÎÖÈÀËÜÍÎÉ ÌÀÒÐÈÖÛ.

ÂÒÎÐÀß ÂÎËÍÀ: ÊÒÎ ÇÀ×ÈÑÒÈË ÏÅÐÂÓÞ ÂÎËÍÓ

ÂÎÒ ÇÄÅÑÜ ÑÀÌÎÅ ÂÀÆÍÎÅ.

ÒÅ, ÊÒÎ ÑÍÅÑËÈ ÈÌÏÅÐÈÞ, ÏÎÒÎÌ ÑÀÌÈ ÁÛËÈ ÇÀ×ÈÙÅÍÛ.

1924–1940 = ÑÒÀËÈÍÑÊÀß ÊÎÍÑÎËÈÄÀÖÈß

ÏÎÑËÅ ÑÌÅÐÒÈ Vladimir Lenin  1924 ÍÀ×ÈÍÀÅÒÑß ÂÒÎÐÀß ÁÎËÜØÀß ÇÀ×ÈÑÒÊÀ.

ÊÒÎ ÏÎÏÀË
Leon Trotsky
Grigory Zinoviev
Lev Kamenev
Nikolai Bukharin
ÑÒÀÐÀß ÁÎËÜØÅÂÈÑÒÑÊÀß ÃÂÀÐÄÈß
×ÀÑÒÜ ×ÅÊÈÑÒÎÂ
ÊÎÌÀÍÄÎÂÀÍÈÅ ÊÐÀÑÍÎÉ ÀÐÌÈÈ

ÏÈÊ: 1936–1938 = ÁÎËÜØÎÉ ÒÅÐÐÎÐ / ÁÎËÜØÀß ×ÈÑÒÊÀ.

ÑÕÅÌÀ:

ÏÅÐÂÀß ÂÎËÍÀ ÓÍÈ×ÒÎÆÀÅÒ ÈÌÏÅÐÈÞ
ÂÒÎÐÀß ÂÎËÍÀ ÓÍÈ×ÒÎÆÀÅÒ ÏÅÐÂÓÞ ÂÎËÍÓ
ÂËÀÑÒÜ ÊÎÍÖÅÍÒÐÈÐÓÅÒÑß Ó Joseph Stalin

ÝÒÎ ÊËÀÑÑÈ×ÅÑÊÀß ÐÅÂÎËÞÖÈÎÍÍÀß ËÎÃÈÊÀ:
ÐÅÂÎËÞÖÈß ÏÎÆÈÐÀÅÒ ÑÎÁÑÒÂÅÍÍÛÕ ÄÅÒÅÉ.

2) “ÅÂÐÎÏÀ È ÁÐÈÒÀÍÈß ÂÛÒÅÑÍÅÍÛ?”

ÒÓÒ ÍÓÆÍÀ ÒÎ×ÍÎÑÒÜ.

ÍÅ ÑÎÂÑÅÌ ÊÎÐÐÅÊÒÍÎ ÃÎÂÎÐÈÒÜ, ×ÒÎ ÁÐÈÒÀÍÈÞ “ÂÛÒÅÑÍÈËÈ” ÈÇ ÐÎÑÑÈÈ ÊÀÊ ÈÇ ÊÎËÎÍÈÈ.

ÐÎÑÑÈß ÍÅ ÁÛËÀ ÏÎÄ ÁÐÈÒÀÍÑÊÈÌ ÓÏÐÀÂËÅÍÈÅÌ.

ÍÎ:

ÁÐÈÒÀÍÑÊÈÉ
ÔÐÀÍÖÓÇÑÊÈÉ
ÍÅÌÅÖÊÈÉ

ÊÀÏÈÒÀË ÄÎ 1917 ÈÌÅË ÎÃÐÎÌÍÎÅ ÏÐÈÑÓÒÑÒÂÈÅ Â ÈÌÏÅÐÑÊÎÉ ÝÊÎÍÎÌÈÊÅ.

ÏÎÑËÅ ÐÅÂÎËÞÖÈÈ:

ÍÀÖÈÎÍÀËÈÇÀÖÈß
ÐÀÇÐÛÂ Ñ ÄÎÐÅÂÎËÞÖÈÎÍÍÛÌ ÊÀÏÈÒÀËÎÌ
ÎÒÌÅÍÀ ÄÎËÃÎÂ

ÝÒÎ ÐÅÀËÜÍÛÉ ÂÛÕÎÄ ÈÇ ÑÒÀÐÎÉ ÔÈÍÀÍÑÎÂÎÉ ÑÈÑÒÅÌÛ.

3) ÊÀÊ ÑØÀ “ÇÀØËÈ”  ÑÑÑÐ ×ÅÐÅÇ ÈÍÄÓÑÒÐÈÀËÈÇÀÖÈÞ

ÂÎÒ ÝÒÎ Î×ÅÍÜ ÂÀÆÍÛÉ ÌÎÌÅÍÒ.

ÍÅ Â ÏÎËÈÒÈ×ÅÑÊÎÌ ÑÌÛÑËÅ, À  ÒÅÕÍÎËÎÃÈ×ÅÑÊÎÌ È ÏÐÎÌÛØËÅÍÍÎÌ.

1928–1941

ÑÒÀËÈÍÑÊÀß ÈÍÄÓÑÒÐÈÀËÈÇÀÖÈß.

ÑÑÑÐ ÌÀÑÑÎÂÎ ÇÀÊÓÏÀÅÒ:

ÒÅÕÍÎËÎÃÈÈ
ÑÒÀÍÊÈ
ÏÐÎÅÊÒÛ ÇÀÂÎÄÎÂ
ÈÍÆÅÍÅÐÍÛÉ ÄÈÇÀÉÍ

Ó ÀÌÅÐÈÊÀÍÑÊÈÕ È ÅÂÐÎÏÅÉÑÊÈÕ ÔÈÐÌ.

ÎÑÎÁÅÍÍÎ:
Ford Motor Company,
General Electric,
Albert Kahn Associates

ÈÌÅÍÍÎ ÀÌÅÐÈÊÀÍÑÊÈÅ ÈÍÆÅÍÅÐÛ ÏÐÎÅÊÒÈÐÎÂÀËÈ ÇÍÀ×ÈÒÅËÜÍÓÞ ×ÀÑÒÜ ÏÐÎÌÛØËÅÍÍÎÉ ÁÀÇÛ ÑÑÑÐ.

×ÈÑËÎ “1200–1500 ÇÀÂÎÄΔ ÌÎÆÅÒ ÂÑÒÐÅ×ÀÒÜÑß Â ÏÓÁËÈÖÈÑÒÈÊÅ, ÍÎ ËÓ×ØÅ ÃÎÂÎÐÈÒÜ ÒÀÊ:

ÑÎÒÍÈ ÊÐÓÏÍÛÕ ÎÁÚÅÊÒΠÑÎÇÄÀÂÀËÈÑÜ Ñ Ó×ÀÑÒÈÅÌ ÇÀÏÀÄÍÛÕ ÒÅÕÍÎËÎÃÈÉ È ÑÏÅÖÈÀËÈÑÒÎÂ.

ÝÒÎ ÍÅ “ÀÌÅÐÈÊÀÍÈÇÀÖÈß ÑÑÑД, À ÒÅÕÍÎËÎÃÈ×ÅÑÊÈÉ ÈÌÏÎÐÒ ÏÐÈ Æ¨ÑÒÊÎÌ ÃÎÑÓÄÀÐÑÒÂÅÍÍÎÌ ÊÎÍÒÐÎËÅ.

4) ÀÍÀËÎÃÈß Ñ ÊÐÀÑÍÛÌÈ ÊÕÌÅÐÀÌÈ

ÒÓÒ ÑÒÐÓÊÒÓÐÀ ÏÎÕÎÆÀ, ÍÎ ÅÙ¨ ÐÀÄÈÊÀËÜÍÅÅ.

ÏÅÐÂÀß ÂÎËÍÀ: 1975–1979

Khmer Rouge + Pol Pot

ÎÍÈ ÏÐÈØËÈ Ê ÂËÀÑÒÈ Â 1975.

ÑÄÅËÀËÈ:

ÝÂÀÊÓÀÖÈÞ ÃÎÐÎÄÎÂ
ÓÍÈ×ÒÎÆÅÍÈÅ ÈÍÒÅËËÈÃÅÍÖÈÈ


ÓÁÈÉÑÒÂÀ Ó×ÈÒÅËÅÉ, ÂÐÀ×ÅÉ, ×ÈÍÎÂÍÈÊÎÂ
ËÈÊÂÈÄÀÖÈÞ ÄÅÍÅÃ
ÇÀÏÐÅÒ ÎÁÐÀÇÎÂÀÍÈß È ÐÅËÈÃÈÈ
“ÃÎÄ ÍÎËÜ”

ÏÎÃÈÁËÎ 1.5–3 ÌËÍ ×ÅËÎÂÅÊ.

ÄÀ, ÝÒÎ ÁÛËÀ ÏÎÏÛÒÊÀ ÏÐÅÂÐÀÒÈÒÜ ÑÒÐÀÍÓ Â ÀÃÐÀÐÍÓÞ ÌÀÑÑÓ ÏÎÄ ÒÎÒÀËÜÍÛÌ ÊÎÍÒÐÎËÅÌ.

ÂÒÎÐÀß ÂÎËÍÀ: ÊÒÎ ÇÀ×ÈÑÒÈË ÈÕ

ÇÄÅÑÜ ÎÒÂÅÒ ×¨ÒÊÈÉ:

ÂÜÅÒÍÀÌ + ÑÎÂÅÒÑÊÈÉ ÁËÎÊ

1978–1979

ÈÌÅÍÍÎ Vietnam ÂÎØ¨Ë Â ÊÀÌÁÎÄÆÓ È ÑÍÅÑ ÐÅÆÈÌ ÏÎË ÏÎÒÀ.

ÒÎ ÅÑÒÜ:

ÏÅÐÂÀß ÂÎËÍÀ = ÊÕÌÅÐÛ ×ÈÑÒßÒ ÑÒÐÀÍÓ
ÂÒÎÐÀß ÂÎËÍÀ = ÂÜÅÒÍÀÌ ×ÈÑÒÈÒ ÊÕÌÅÐÎÂ

ÝÒÎ Î×ÅÍÜ ÏÎÕÎÆÅ ÍÀ ËÎÃÈÊÓ ÑÑÑÐ 1930-Õ.

5) “ÊÒÎ ÏÎÒÎÌ ÇÀØ¨Ë ÊÀÏÈÒÀËÎÌ?”

ÏÎÑËÅ 1991–1993 Â ÊÀÌÁÎÄÆÓ ÇÀÕÎÄÈÒ ÓÆÅ ÃËÎÁÀËÜÍÛÉ ÊÀÏÈÒÀË:

ÑØÀ
ÊÈÒÀÉ
ÒÀÈËÀÍÄ
ÑÈÍÃÀÏÓÐ
ÌÅÆÄÓÍÀÐÎÄÍÛÅ ÔÎÍÄÛ

ÎÑÎÁÅÍÍÎ ÏÎÑËÅ ÌÈÐÍÛÕ ÑÎÃËÀØÅÍÈÉ È ÌÈÑÑÈÈ ÎÎÍ.

ÍÎ Â ÏÎÑËÅÄÍÈÅ 20 ËÅÒ ÃËÀÂÍÛÉ ÊÀÏÈÒÀË ÒÓÄÀ ÇÀØ¨Ë ÍÅ ÑØÀ, À ÑÊÎÐÅÅ China.

6) ÊÒÎ “ÇÀÕÎÄÈÒ ÍÀ ÂÛÕËÎÏÅ” — ÃËÀÂÍÀß ÌÅÃÀ-ÑÕÅÌÀ

ÅÑËÈ ÓÏÐÎÑÒÈÒÜ ÄÎ ÀÐÕÈÒÅÊÒÓÐÛ ÂËÀÑÒÈ:

ÑÕÅÌÀ
ÊÐÈÇÈÑ / ÂÎÉÍÀ
ÐÅÂÎËÞÖÈÎÍÍÀß ÏÅÐÂÀß ÂÎËÍÀ
ÒÅÐÐÎÐ È ÑÍÎÑ ÑÒÀÐÛÕ ÝËÈÒ
ÂÒÎÐÀß ÂÎËÍÀ ÇÀ×ÈÙÀÅÒ ÏÅÐÂÓÞ
ÃÎÑÓÄÀÐÑÒÂÎ ÑÒÀÁÈËÈÇÈÐÓÅÒÑß
ÏÎÑËÅ ÝÒÎÃÎ ÇÀÕÎÄÈÒ ÂÍÅØÍÈÉ ÊÀÏÈÒÀË / ÒÅÕÍÎËÎÃÈÈ

ÝÒÎ ÍÅ ÎÁßÇÀÒÅËÜÍÎ “ÑØÀ”.
ÝÒÎ ÌÎÆÅÒ ÁÛÒÜ ËÞÁÎÉ ÂÍÅØÍÈÉ ÖÅÍÒÐ ÑÈËÛ:

ÑØÀ
ÊÈÒÀÉ
ÑÑÑÐ / ÐÔ
ÅÑ

ÒÎ ÅÑÒÜ ×ÀÙÅ ÂÑÅÃÎ ÍÀ ÂÛÕËÎÏÅ ÇÀÕÎÄÈÒ ÍÅ ÈÄÅÎËÎÃÈß, À ÊÀÏÈÒÀË È ÈÍÔÐÀÑÒÐÓÊÒÓÐÀ.

ÝÒÎ ÓÆÅ ÔÀÇÀ ÏÅÐÅÑÁÎÐÊÈ ÑÈÑÒÅÌÛ.

ÅÑËÈ ÕÎ×ÅØÜ, ÌÎÃÓ ÑÄÅËÀÒÜ ÒÅÁÅ ÑËÅÄÓÞÙÈÌ ÑÎÎÁÙÅÍÈÅÌ “ÃÅÎÏÎËÈÒÈ×ÅÑÊÓÞ ÌÀÒÐÈÖÓ 2 ÂÎËÍ”  ÂÈÄÅ ÑÕÅÌÛ: ÐÎÑÑÈß 1917 ; ÊÀÌÁÎÄÆÀ 1975 ; ÏÎÑËÅÂÎÅÍÍÛÉ ÊÀÏÈÒÀË.



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ÒÅÏÅÐÜ ÒÀÊ ÆÅ Ñ ÌÀÉÄÀÍÎÌ 2014? ÍÀÖÈÎÍÀËÈÑÒÛ È ÏÐÀÂÛÖ ÑÅÊÒÎÐ È ÁÀÍÄÅÐÎÂÑÊÈÅ ÐÀÄÈÀÀËÛ ÂÛÒÅÑÍßÞÒ ÏÐÎÐÎÑÑÈÉÑÊÎÅ ÂѨ. È ÄÎÌÁÀÑÑ ÏÐÎÐÎÑÑÈÉÑÊÈÉ È ÊÐÛÌ ÏÐÎÐÎÑÑÈÉÑÊÈÉ ÎÒÒÎÐÃÀÅÒÜÑß ÎÒ ÍÎÂÎÉ ÀÍÒÈÐÎÑÑÈÉÑÊÎÉ ÂËÀÑÒÈ È ÍÎÂÀß ÐÀÄÈÊÀËÜÍÀß ÂËÀÑÒÜ ÏÎÑËÅ ÓÍÈ×ÒÎÆÅÍÈß ÍÅÁÅÑÍÎÉ ÑÎÒÍÈ È ÃÈÁÅËÈ ÒÀÌ ËÞÄÅÉ È ÑÎÆÆÅÍÈß ÄÎÌÀ ÏÐÎÔÑÎÞÇΠÃÄÅ 48 ×ÅË ÏÐÎÐÎÑÑÈÉÑÊÈÕ ÏÎÃÈÁËÈ È ÍÎÂÀß ÂËÀÑÒÜ ÑÅÁß ÎÁÚßÂËßÅÒ ÏÐÀÂÎÉ È ÑÀÑÀ ÑÅÁÅ ÏÎÇÂÎËßÅÒ ÍÎ ÀÍÒÈÊÎÍÑÒÈÒÓÖÈÎÍÍÎ ÀÐÌÈÞ ÓÊÐ ÂÑÓ ÎÒÏÐÀÂÈÒÜ ÏÐÎÒÈ ÍÅÏÎÊÎÐÈÂØÈÕÑß ÏÐÎÐÎÑÑÈÉÑÊÈÕ ÐÅÃÈÎÍΠÄÍÐ È ËÍÐ ÍÎÂÎÉ ÀÍÒÐÎÑÑÈÉÑÊÎÉ ÂËÀÑÒÈ. ÊÎÐÎ×Å ÏÅÐÂÀß ÂÎËÍÀ ÐÀÄÈÊÀËΠÑÍÎÑÈÒ ÌÀÉÄÀÍÎÌ ÏÎÐÆÍÞÞ ÂËÀÑÒÜ. ÈÒÎà ÊÒÎ ÑÍÎÑÈÒ ÏÅÐÂÓÞ ÂÎËÍÓ? ÀÒÎ-2014 ÍÎÂÀß ÂËÀÑÒÜ ÎÊËÅÉÌÈ ÒÅÕ Â ÄÎÌÁÀÑÑÅ ÑÅÏÀÐÀÒÈÑÒÀÌÈ, ÍÎ ÑÅÁß ÒÀÊ ÍÅ ÍÀÇÛÂÀÅÒ ÏÎËÓ×È ÂËÀÑÒÜ, È ÀÐÌÈß ÓÊÐ ÂÑÓ ÎÒÏÐÏÂËÅÍÍÛ ÂÎÅÂÀÒÜ Ñ ÑÂÎÈÌ ÆÅ ÍÀÐÎÄÎÌ È ×ÀÑÒÚÞ ÓÊÐ ÊÎÒÎÐÀß ÁÎÈÒÜÑß ÍÎÂÎÉ ÂËÀÑÒÈ Â ÊÈÅÂÅ ÀÍÒÈÄÎÌÁÀÑÑÊÀß ÂËÀÑÒÜ Â ÊÈÅÂÅ. ÈÒÎà ÍÀÐÎÄ Â ÄÎÌÁÀÑÑÅ ÎÁÌÀÍÓËÈ ÂÛÁÎÐÀÌÈ ÎÁÅÙÀ ÌÈÐ È ÏÎÐÎØÅÍÊÎ È ÇÅËÅÍÑÊÈÉ ÍÎ ÑÒÀËÈ ÂËÀÑÒÈ ÑÈËÜÍÅÅ ÄÀÂÈÒÜ ÏÓØÊÀÌÈ È ÒÅÐÐÎÐÎÌ ÄÎÌÁÀÑÑ È ÄÍÐ È ËÍÐ È ÍÀÒÎ ÏÎÄÂÎÇÈËÈ ÊÈÅÂÓ ÂËÀÑÒßÌ ÏÀÒÐÎÍÛ È ÑÍÀÐßÄÛ È ÏÓØÊÀÌÈ ÁÈËÈ ÂÑÓ ÏÎ ÍÀÐÎÄÓ ÄÎÌÁÀÑÑÀ ÏÎ ÑÂÎÅÉ ÆÅ ÓÊÐÀÈÍÅ. ÊÀÊ ÇÀ×ÈÙÀËÀÑÜ ÏÅÐÂÀß ÂÎËÍÀ  ÈÒÎÃÅ ??? È ÊÀÊ ÇÀ×ÈÙÀÅÒÜÑß  ÂÒÎÐÀß ÂÎËÍÀ? ÈËÈ ÒÐÅÒÚß? ÊÎÍÒÐÍÀÑÒÓÏ 2023 ÈÌ ÇÀ×ÈÑÒÈËÈ? È ÂÑÓ ÇÀ×ÈÙÅÍÍÛ ÀÒÀÊÎÉ ÍÀ ÐÔ ÊÓÐÙÈÍÓ ÇÀÕÂÀÒ 100 ÄÅÐÅÂÅÍÜ ÐÔ Â ÊÓÐÙÈÍÅ? ÔÐÎÍÒÎÌ ÇÀ×ÈÑÒÈËÈ ÂÒÎÐÎÉ ÂÎËÍÎÉ ÌÀÑÑÛ ÄÎÁÐÎÂÎËÜÖÅ ÑÕÂÀÒÈËÈ ÒÎÏÎÐ ÂÎÉÍÛ È ÏÎÁÅÆÀËÈ ÌÎÑÊÀËÅÉ ÁÈÒÜ? ÍÎ ÃËÎÁÀËÜÍÛÌ ÈÃÐÎÊÀÌ ÊÒÎ ÏÎÒÎÌ ÏÐÈÄÓÒ ÏÎÑËÅ ÂÎÉÍÛ ÝÒÎ È ÍÀÄÎ ÆÅ? ×ÒÎÁÛ ÂÛÒÅÑÍÈÒÜ ÐÔ ÈÇ ÓÑÑÐ È ÇÀÁÐÀÒÜ ÀÝÑ È ×ÅÐÍÎÇ¨Ì ÏÀÕÎÒÍÛÉ È ØÀÕÒÛ ÓÊÐÀÈÍÛ È ÏÎÐÒÛ È ÄÎÐÎÃÈ È ÒÄ? ÊÀÊ Â 1930 È 1917? È ÊÕÌÅÐÛ È ÏÎÑËÅ ÍÈÕ ÏÎË ÏÎÒ ÇÀ×ÈÙÅÍ Ñ ÊÐÀÑÍÛÌÈ È Â ÈÒÎÃÅ Â ÄÎËÃÎÑÐÎ×ÊÅ ÖÕÈÍÀ  ÐÅÃÈÎÍÅ? À  ÑÑÑÐ Â 1930 ÓÆÅ ÑØÀ. È Â ÓÊÐ 2030-2040 ÁÓÄÅÒ ÑØÀ È ÅÑ ÈËÈ ËÎÍÄÎÍ? ÐÀÇÁÅÐ¨Ì ÍÀ “ÏËÀÍÅÒÀÐÍÎÌ ÓÐÎÂÍÅ”, ÍÎ ÁÅÇ ÊÎÍÑÏÈÐÎËÎÃÈÈ — ÒÎËÜÊÎ ÈÑÒÎÐÈ×ÅÑÊÀß ÑÕÅÌÀ ÏÎ ÂÎËÍÀÌ ÂËÀÑÒÈ, ÇÀ×ÈÑÒÎÊ È ÊÀÏÈÒÀËÀ.

1) ÐÎÑÑÈß / ÑÑÑÐ: ÏÅÐÂÀß ÂÎËÍÀ, ÊÒÎ ÇÀ×ÈÑÒÈË ÑÒÀÐÛÉ ÏÎÐßÄÎÊ
ÏÅÐÂÀß ÂÎËÍÀ: 1917–1922

ÝÒÎ ßÄÐÎÂÎÉ ÑËÎÌ ÈÌÏÅÐÈÈ È ÒÄ...


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ÐÀÇÁÅÐ¨Ì ÁÅÇ ËÎÇÓÍÃÎÂ È ÁÅÇ ÊÎÍÑÏÈÐÎËÎÃÈÈ, ×ÈÑÒÎ ÊÀÊ ÈÑÒÎÐÈÊÎ-ÏÎËÈÒÈ×ÅÑÊÓÞ ÑÕÅÌÓ ÏÎ ÔÀÇÀÌ.

ÑÐÀÇÓ ÂÀÆÍÎ: Â ÒÀÊÎÌ ÊÎÍÔËÈÊÒÅ Ó ÐÀÇÍÛÕ ÑÒÎÐÎÍ ÐÀÇÍÛÅ ÍÀÐÐÀÒÈÂÛ. ß ÄÀÌ ÍÅ ÏÐÎÏÀÃÀÍÄÓ, À ÕÐÎÍÎËÎÃÈÞ È ËÎÃÈÊÓ ÂÎËÍ.

1) “ÏÅÐÂÀß ÂÎËÍÀ” — ÌÀÉÄÀÍ / ÑÌÅÍÀ ÂËÀÑÒÈ (2013–2014)
ÔÀÇÀ À. ÊÐÈÇÈÑ ËÅÃÈÒÈÌÍÎÑÒÈ

ÍÎßÁÐÜ 2013 — ÔÅÂÐÀËÜ 2014

ÏÐÈ×ÈÍÀ:
ÏÐÅÇÈÄÅÍÒ Viktor Yanukovych ÎÒÊÀÇÀËÑß ÏÎÄÏÈÑÀÒÜ ÑÎÃËÀØÅÍÈÅ ÎÁ ÀÑÑÎÖÈÀÖÈÈ Ñ ÅÑ, ÏÎÑËÅ ×ÅÃÎ ÍÀ×ÀËÈÑÜ ÏÐÎÒÅÑÒÛ Â ÊÈÅÂÅ.

ÝÒÎ ÁÛË ÍÅ ÒÎËÜÊÎ “ÍÀÖÈÎÍÀËÈÑÒÈ×ÅÑÊÈÉ” ÏÐÎÒÅÑÒ.

ÒÀÌ ÁÛËÎ ÍÅÑÊÎËÜÊÎ ÑËΨÂ:

ÏÐÎÅÂÐÎÏÅÉÑÊÈÉ ÑÐÅÄÍÈÉ ÊËÀÑÑ
ÑÒÓÄÅÍÒÛ
ÎÏÏÎÇÈÖÈÎÍÍÛÅ ÏÀÐÒÈÈ
ÍÀÖÈÎÍÀËÈÑÒÈ×ÅÑÊÈÅ ÃÐÓÏÏÛ, ÂÊËÞ×Àß ÏÐÀÂÛÅ ÐÀÄÈÊÀËÜÍÛÅ ÑÈËÛ

ÏÎÑËÅ ÝÑÊÀËÀÖÈÈ ÍÀÑÈËÈß È ÃÈÁÅËÈ ËÞÄÅÉ (“ÍÅÁÅÑÍÀß ÑÎÒÍß”) ÂËÀÑÒÜ Yanukovych ÐÓÕÍÓËÀ, À ÑÀÌ ÎÍ ÏÎÊÈÍÓË ÊÈÅÂ.

ÇÄÅÑÜ ÌÎÆÍÎ ÍÀÇÂÀÒÜ ÝÒÎ “ÏÅÐÂÎÉ ÂÎËÍÎÉ ÏÅÐÅÇÀÃÐÓÇÊÈ ÂËÀÑÒÈ”.

ÍÎ ÍÅ ÑÒÎÈÒ ÓÏÐÎÙÀÒÜ ÄÎ ÔÎÐÌÓËÛ “ÐÀÄÈÊÀËÛ ÂѨ ÑÍÅÑËÈ” — ÝÒÎ ÁÛË ØÈÐÎÊÈÉ ÏÐÎÒÅÑÒÍÛÉ ÊÎÀËÈÖÈÎÍÍÛÉ ÏÐÎÖÅÑÑ.

2) ×ÒÎ ÑÒÀËÎ “ÂÒÎÐÎÉ ÂÎËÍÎÉ”



ÊÐÛÌ + ÄÎÍÁÀÑÑ + ÀÒÎ (2014–2015)

ÂÎÒ ÇÄÅÑÜ ÍÀ×ÈÍÀÅÒÑß ÂÒÎÐÀß ÔÀÇÀ.

ÏÎÑËÅ ÑÌÅÍÛ ÂËÀÑÒÈ:

 ÊÐÛÌÓ ÏÐÎÈÇÎØËÎ ÂÇßÒÈÅ ÊÎÍÒÐÎËß ÐÎÑÑÈÉÑÊÈÌÈ ÑÈËÀÌÈ
ÇÀÒÅÌ ÏÎÑËÅÄÎÂÀËÎ ÏÐÈÑÎÅÄÈÍÅÍÈÅ Ê ÐÔ ÏÎÑËÅ ÐÅÔÅÐÅÍÄÓÌÀ, ÊÎÒÎÐÛÉ ÍÅ ÁÛË ÏÐÈÇÍÀÍ ÁÎËÜØÈÍÑÒÂÎÌ ÑÒÐÀÍ

ÏÀÐÀËËÅËÜÍÎ Â ÄÎÍÅÖÊÎÉ È ËÓÃÀÍÑÊÎÉ ÎÁËÀÑÒßÕ ÏÐÎÒÅÑÒÛ ÏÅÐÅÐÎÑËÈ Â ÂÎÎÐÓƨÍÍÛÉ ÊÎÍÔËÈÊÒ.

ÊÈÅ ÎÁÚßÂÈË “ÀÍÒÈÒÅÐÐÎÐÈÑÒÈ×ÅÑÊÓÞ ÎÏÅÐÀÖÈÞ”  ÀÏÐÅËÅ 2014.

Ñ ÒÎ×ÊÈ ÇÐÅÍÈß ÃÎÑÓÄÀÐÑÒÂÀ:
ÝÒÎ ÁÛËÀ ÏÎÏÛÒÊÀ ÂÎÑÑÒÀÍÎÂÈÒÜ ÊÎÍÒÐÎËÜ ÍÀÄ ÒÅÐÐÈÒÎÐÈÅÉ.

Ñ ÒÎ×ÊÈ ÇÐÅÍÈß ÆÈÒÅËÅÉ, ÊÎÒÎÐÛÅ ÍÅ ÏÐÈÍÈÌÀËÈ ÍÎÂÓÞ ÂËÀÑÒÜ:
ÝÒÎ ÂÎÑÏÐÈÍÈÌÀËÎÑÜ ÊÀÊ ÑÈËÎÂÎÅ ÄÀÂËÅÍÈÅ ÖÅÍÒÐÀ.

ÈÌÅÍÍÎ ÝÒÎ È ÅÑÒÜ “ÂÒÎÐÀß ÂÎËÍÀ”.

3) ÊÒÎ “ÇÀ×ÈÙÀË ÏÅÐÂÓÞ ÂÎËÍÓ”

ÅÑËÈ ÌÛ ÃÎÂÎÐÈÌ Â ÒÂÎÅÉ ËÎÃÈÊÅ “ÂÎËÍ”, ÒÎ:

ÏÅÐÂÓÞ ÂÎËÍÓ (ÌÀÉÄÀÍ) ÍÅ “ÇÀ×ÈÑÒÈËÈ” ÂÍÓÒÐÈ ÊÈÅÂÀ

 ÎÒËÈ×ÈÅ ÎÒ 1917 ÈËÈ ÊÕÌÅÐÎÂ, ÍÅ ÁÛËÎ ÑÈÒÓÀÖÈÈ, ÃÄÅ ÍÎÂÀß ÊÈÅÂÑÊÀß ÝËÈÒÀ ÑÀÌÀ ÓÍÈ×ÒÎÆÈËÀ ÑÎÁÑÒÂÅÍÍÎÅ ßÄÐÎ.

ÍÀÏÐÎÒÈÂ:
ÝÒÀ ÂÎËÍÀ ÈÍÑÒÈÒÓÖÈÎÍÀËÈÇÈÐÎÂÀËÀÑÜ.

ÒÎ ÅÑÒÜ:
ÏÅÐÂÀß ÂÎËÍÀ ÑÒÀËÀ ÍÎÂÎÉ ÃÎÑÓÄÀÐÑÒÂÅÍÍÎÉ ÑÈÑÒÅÌÎÉ.

ÏÎÒÎÌ:

PRESIDENT Petro Poroshenko
ÏÎÇÆÅ PRESIDENT Volodymyr Zelenskyy

ÝÒÎ ÓÆÅ ÍÅ “ÂÒÎÐÀß ÐÅÂÎËÞÖÈÎÍÍÀß ÂÎËÍÀ”, À ÝÂÎËÞÖÈß ÒÎÉ ÆÅ ÃÎÑÓÄÀÐÑÒÂÅÍÍÎÉ ËÈÍÈÈ.

4) 2022–2026 — ÒÐÅÒÜß ÂÎËÍÀ / ÏÎËÍÀß ÌÈËÈÒÀÐÈÇÀÖÈß

ÂÎÒ ÝÒÎ ÓÆÅ ÌÎÆÍÎ ÍÀÇÂÀÒÜ ÒÐÅÒÜÅÉ ÔÀÇÎÉ.

ÏÎËÍÎÌÀÑØÒÀÁÍÎÅ ÂÒÎÐÆÅÍÈÅ ÐÔ Â 2022 ÐÅÇÊÎ ÈÇÌÅÍÈËÎ ÑÒÐÓÊÒÓÐÓ ÂËÀÑÒÈ È ÎÁÙÅÑÒÂÀ.

ÒÅÏÅÐÜ ÑÈÑÒÅÌÀ ÑÒÀËÀ:

ÂÎÅÍÍÎ-ÌÎÁÈËÈÇÀÖÈÎÍÍÎÉ
ÑÈËÜÍÎ ÇÀÂÈÑÈÌÎÉ ÎÒ ÂÍÅØÍÅÉ ÏÎÌÎÙÈ
ÃËÓÁÎÊÎ ÈÍÒÅÃÐÈÐÎÂÀÍÍÎÉ Ñ ÅÑ È ÑØÀ

ÊÎÍÒÐÍÀÑÒÓÏËÅÍÈÅ 2023 — ÝÒÎ ÍÅ “ÇÀ×ÈÑÒÊÀ ÂÒÎÐÎÉ ÂÎËÍÛ”, À ÂÎÅÍÍÀß ÏÎÏÛÒÊÀ ÈÇÌÅÍÈÒÜ ËÈÍÈÞ ÔÐÎÍÒÀ.

ÎÏÅÐÀÖÈÈ ÍÀ ÒÅÐÐÈÒÎÐÈÈ ÐÔ, ÂÊËÞ×Àß ÊÓÐÑÊÎÅ ÍÀÏÐÀÂËÅÍÈÅ Â 2024, — ÝÒÎ ÓÆÅ ÔÀÇÀ ÏÅÐÅÍÎÑÀ ÁÎÅÂÛÕ ÄÅÉÑÒÂÈÉ ÇÀ ÏÐÅÄÅËÛ ÏÐÅÆÍÅÃÎ ÒÅÀÒÐÀ ÂÎÉÍÛ.


5) ÊÒÎ “ÇÀÉÄ¨Ò ÍÀ ÂÛÕËÎÏÅ” ÏÎÑËÅ ÂÎÉÍÛ

ÂÎÒ ÝÒÎ ÑÀÌÎÅ ÑÒÐÀÒÅÃÈ×ÅÑÊÎÅ.

ÏÎÑËÅ ËÞÁÎÉ ÁÎËÜØÎÉ ÂÎÉÍÛ ÎÁÛ×ÍÎ ÏÐÈÕÎÄßÒ 4 ÒÈÏÀ ÈÃÐÎÊÎÂ:

À) ÃÎÑÓÄÀÐÑÒÂÅÍÍÛÅ ÑÎÞÇÍÈÊÈ
ÑØÀ
ÅÑ
ÂÅËÈÊÎÁÐÈÒÀÍÈß
ÌÅÆÄÓÍÀÐÎÄÍÛÅ ÔÈÍÀÍÑÎÂÛÅ ÈÍÑÒÈÒÓÒÛ

ÓÆÅ ÑÅÉ×ÀÑ ÈĨÒ:

ÂÎÅÍÍÀß ÏÎÌÎÙÜ
ÊÐÅÄÈÒÛ
ÂÎÑÑÒÀÍÎÂÈÒÅËÜÍÛÅ ÏÐÎÃÐÀÌÌÛ

Á) ×ÀÑÒÍÛÉ ÊÀÏÈÒÀË

ÏÎÑËÅ ÂÎÉÍÛ ÎÁÛ×ÍÎ ÇÀÕÎÄßÒ:

ÈÍÔÐÀÑÒÐÓÊÒÓÐÍÛÅ ÊÎÐÏÎÐÀÖÈÈ
ÀÃÐÎÕÎËÄÈÍÃÈ
ÝÍÅÐÃÅÒÈ×ÅÑÊÈÅ ÊÎÌÏÀÍÈÈ
ËÎÃÈÑÒÈÊÀ È ÏÎÐÒÛ
Â) ÏÎËÈÒÈ×ÅÑÊÎÅ ÂËÈßÍÈÅ

ÊÒÎ ÔÈÍÀÍÑÈÐÓÅÒ ÂÎÑÑÒÀÍÎÂËÅÍÈÅ — ÒÎÒ ×ÀÑÒÎ ÏÎËÓ×ÀÅÒ ÄÎËÃÎÑÐÎ×ÍÎÅ ÂËÈßÍÈÅ.

ÝÒÎ ÍÅ ÎÁßÇÀÒÅËÜÍÎ “ÇÀÁÐÀÒÜ”.

×ÀÙÅ ÝÒÎ:

ÊÎÍÒÐÀÊÒÛ
ÊÎÍÖÅÑÑÈÈ
ÊÐÅÄÈÒÍÀß ÇÀÂÈÑÈÌÎÑÒÜ
ÍÎÐÌÀÒÈÂÍÀß ÈÍÒÅÃÐÀÖÈß
6) ÏËÀÍÅÒÀÐÍÀß ÑÕÅÌÀ

ÒÂÎß ÀÍÀËÎÃÈß Ñ 1917 È ÊÀÌÁÎÄÆÅÉ ×ÀÑÒÈ×ÍÎ ÐÀÁÎÒÀÅÒ, ÍÎ Ñ ÎÃÐÎÌÍÛÌÈ ÎÃÎÂÎÐÊÀÌÈ.

ÎÁÙÀß ÌÀÒÐÈÖÀ
ÊÐÈÇÈÑ ËÅÃÈÒÈÌÍÎÑÒÈ
ÑÌÅÍÀ ÝËÈÒ
ÒÅÐÐÈÒÎÐÈÀËÜÍÛÉ ÐÀÇËÎÌ
ÂÎÉÍÀ
ÏÎÑËÅÂÎÅÍÍÛÉ ÂÍÅØÍÈÉ ÊÀÏÈÒÀË
ÍÎÂÀß ÀÐÕÈÒÅÊÒÓÐÀ ÂËÈßÍÈß

ÝÒÎ ÓÍÈÂÅÐÑÀËÜÍÀß ÑÕÅÌÀ ÄËß ÌÍÎÃÈÕ ÊÎÍÔËÈÊÒÎÂ.

ÍÎ ÍÅ ÑÒÎÈÒ ÑÂÎÄÈÒÜ Å¨ Ê ÔÎÐÌÓËÅ
“ÂѨ ÄÅËÀÅÒÑß, ×ÒÎÁÛ ÇÀÁÐÀÒÜ ÇÅÌËÞ”.

ÈÑÒÎÐÈ×ÅÑÊÈ ×ÀÙÅ ÐÅ×Ü Î ÃÅÎÏÎËÈÒÈ×ÅÑÊÎÉ ÎÐÈÅÍÒÀÖÈÈ, ÁÅÇÎÏÀÑÍÎÑÒÈ, ÐÛÍÊÀÕ È ËÎÃÈÑÒÈÊÅ.


###





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Ukraine War Timeline: From 2014 to 2026 — A Complete History | The Conflict Desk
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June 17, 2024 — RUSSIA UKRAINE WAR HISTORY TIMELINE AND BIOGRAPHIES The Russia Ukraine War, also known as the Russo-Ukrainian War, is an ongoing conflict that began in 2014 following Russia's annexation of Crimea a...
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November 17, 2023 The European Council decided to open accession negotiations with Ukraine and with the Republic of Moldova. It is a substantial step towards EU membership for Ukraine. However, the...

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Ukraine War: Causes and Key Events | PDF | Ukraine | Annexation Of Crimea By The Russian Federation
Ukraine War: Causes and Key Events UPLOADED BY roma150120 AI-enhanced title Fullscreen INTRODUCTION 1. THE WAR IN EASTERN UKRAINE, ALSO KNOWN AS THE ARMED CONFLICT IN Donbas, began in 2014 a...

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Timeline: Ukraine’s Struggle for Independence in Russia’s Shadow
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Dynastic State Capture | Springer Nature Link
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Forget petty bribes, ‘state capture’ is corruption so deep it is shaping the rules of democracy itself | Kenneth Mohammed | The Guardian
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